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SITIME Corp (SITM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue of $68.1M grew 18% q/q and 61% y/y; non-GAAP EPS was $0.48 vs $0.40 in Q3, with non-GAAP gross margin at 58.8% driven by favorable product mix .
- The company exceeded its prior Q4 guidance (revenue $63–$65M; non-GAAP GM 58–58.5%; EPS $0.39–$0.45) and noted it “surpassed revenue expectations,” citing broad strength and AI-driven CED demand .
- Management guides Q1 2025 revenue to $53–$55M and non-GAAP GM ~57%, reflecting typical seasonality and absorption/depreciation headwinds as new products ramp; Q1 non-GAAP EPS expected at $0.09–$0.13 .
- Strategic catalysts: strong bookings entering 2025, CED leadership in AI infrastructure, initial revenue from Aura clocks (accretive margins), and an explicit path back toward ~60% gross margins over time .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based strength across segments; CED revenue $24.8M (37% of Q4 sales) up 156% y/y; Auto/Industrial/Aerospace $20.5M (30%); Mobile/IoT/Consumer $22.8M (33%). CFO: “performance was driven by broad-based strength across our customer segments” .
- AI data center timing leadership: content in NIC cards, switches, optical modules, GPUs; launched Super-TCXO (5977) delivering up to 3x better synchronization, 4x smaller size, 20x better reliability in targeted GPU/networking use cases .
- Profitability expansion: non-GAAP operating income $7.6M (+$3.6M q/q), non-GAAP EPS $0.48 (vs $0.40 in Q3) with non-GAAP GM up 70 bps q/q to 58.8% on mix .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP still loss-making: Q4 GAAP net loss of $(18.8)M; GAAP loss from operations $(23.0)M; GAAP gross margin 52.6% vs 55.9% in year-ago Q4 .
- Near-term margin headwinds: Q1 GM guided to ~57% due to seasonality (manufacturing absorption) and added depreciation from new product ramps; yields/test time need further maturation .
- Inventory elevated to $76.7M (vs $71.9M in Q3), reflecting ramp and product investments; Q4 OpEx (non-GAAP) rose to $32.5M with increased R&D for new platforms .
Financial Results
Segment Mix (Q4 2024):
Operational KPIs:
Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q4 2024 highlights):
- Non-GAAP gross profit adds back amortization of acquired intangibles ($3.6M) and stock-based comp ($0.7M) .
- Non-GAAP OpEx excludes stock-based comp (R&D $10.0M; SG&A $14.6M) and acquisition-related costs ($1.8M) .
- Non-GAAP net income reconciles add-backs for acquisition-related costs, intangibles amortization, and SBC to arrive at $11.8M, or $0.48 diluted EPS .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We reported over 30% growth across all customer segments, with our Communications, Enterprise, and Datacenter business experiencing significant gains due to the critical role of precision timing in AI” .
- CEO: “Our oscillators have significant market share in 800G optical modules… roadmap for 1.6T and 3.2T modules” .
- CFO: “Non-GAAP gross margins were 58.8%, up 70 bps sequentially and a bit better than expected due to favorable product mix” .
- CEO: “We expect CED to continue to lead our growth in 2025… trends are driving demand for more precision timing with higher dollar content” .
Q&A Highlights
- Segment growth outlook: 2025 growth led by CED; other segments growing but at a lesser rate .
- Gross margin cadence: Q1 step down on absorption/depreciation; margins improve over time as yields/test times mature; still targeting ~60% longer-term .
- Aura clocks: initial revenue in 2024; accretive margins; combined clocking plus high-end oscillators delivering “1+1=3” value to customers .
- Auto China penetration: 30–40% of auto business from China given EV/automation innovation; expanding to U.S./EU/Japan as tech adoption rises .
- OpEx leverage: revenue expected to grow faster than OpEx; Q1 OpEx roughly flat despite payroll tax timing; continued strategic R&D investments .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at the time of analysis due to a data access limitation. As a proxy, the company beat its own Q4 financial guidance on revenue and non-GAAP EPS, indicating demand strength and favorable mix .
- Where sell-side models included higher Q1 margin trajectories, management clarified near-term headwinds and reiterated a path back toward ~60% gross margins over time .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue/EPS beat signals robust AI-driven demand and favorable mix; momentum into 2025 with strong bookings, especially in CED .
- Near-term caution: Q1 seasonality and ramp-related absorption/depreciation will pressure GM to ~57%; watch inventory and yield progress .
- Medium-term thesis supported by product breadth (Super-TCXO, OCXO, Aura clocks), higher timing content per system, and accretive clocking margins .
- Operating leverage intact: OpEx growth constrained relative to revenue; sustained non-GAAP profitability likely as volumes scale .
- Automotive growth diversifier with China-led innovation; broadening to Western OEMs as ADAS/SDV architectures adopt precision timing .
- Expect continued segment diversification; CED leads, but mobile/consumer and industrial/aerospace remain healthy contributors .
- Tactical: anticipate estimate revisions to reflect Q4 beat and Q1 seasonality; re-rate potential as GM normalizes and clocking ramps through 2025 .
Other Relevant Q4 2024 Press Releases
- Event participation: Raymond James TMT & Consumer Conference (Dec 10, 2024) – indicative of active investor engagement during the quarter .